Risk evaluation is crucial for practitioners as it allows them to make better investment decisions. However, the recently witnessed financial turmoil has demonstrated the inadequacy of many models for preventive risk evaluation. In particular, it is now evident that new methods are needed to...

Zur Jahresmitte 2009 hat sich die Konjunktur in Deutschland annähernd stabilisiert. Einige Indikatoren deuten darauf hin, dass die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion nach dem Einbruch im Winterhalbjahr 2008/09 zuletzt nur noch wenig zurückgegangen ist. Gleichwohl ist die Rezession keineswegs...

Raising children demands a considerable amount of parental time, obliging working parents either to reduce their leisure time further or to buy childcare services in the market. Parents may face additional opportunity costs upon deciding to participate in the labor market, but these are...

Die Konjunktur in Deutschland hat sich stabilisiert. Die Produktion im zweiten Quartal 2009 verlief überraschend positiv. Im dritten Quartal dürfte sie deutlich angezogen haben. Alles in allem revidieren wir unsere Prognose für das Jahr 2009 nach oben. Wir rechnen nun mit einem Rückgang des...

The weakness of credit growth in the United States and Europe has given rise to concerns that the financial crisis has led to a credit crunch which has deepened the recession in the real economy and poses a serious threat to the recovery that seems to have started in the most recent months. In...

In response to the worldwide financial crisis, many countries have put together fiscal stimulus packages of substantial size comprising increases in public spending, tax cuts, and transfers to the private sector. These packages vary considerably in respect to size, composition, and timing....