We present an econometric analysis of three main channels (exchange rate channel, interest rate channel and credit channel) of the transmission mechanism of the monetary policy in Belarus. The analysis uses vector autoregressive models built on data from 2003 to 2014 and implemented via the...

We consider identification of the nonparametric simultaneous equation model with the presence of sample selection. For the proposed model we introduce necessary conditions for its identification if excluded variables for selection and outcome equations are available. Our approach extends the...

We evaluate the forecasting performance of three competing models for short-term macroeconomic forecasting: the traditional unrestricted VAR, Bayesian VAR, and Factor Augmented VAR. Using quarterly Armenian macroeconomic variables from 1996 to 2014, we estimate parameters of the three models....

The availability of high frequency intra-day observations has created a new paradigm in volatility measurement. New methods in conjunction with high-frequency data allow nonparametric estimation of daily volatility and its forecast, variance-covariance matrices, instantaneous volatility and the...

We analyze the multivariate distribution of financial returns using time varying conditional vine copulas. We present the d-Stage Maximum Likelihood (dSML) estimator which is shown to be not only consistent and asymptotically normal, but also more computationally attractive than the standard ML...

This essay is a survey of the main econometric approaches to estimation of the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models widely used by central banks and federal reserves. The paper discusses in detail the main econometric problems arising in inferences about the parameters of the...

This document is a practical introduction to Dynare. It shows how to install Dynare and write a DSGE model in Dynare notation, and goes through the output from running the model, where output is stored in the Matlab workspace, as well as common Dynare errors. We use Dynare to do some useful...