Far from fostering Continent Europe?'s industrial catching-up process, late 19th Century protectionism is more likely to have slowed it down. This emerges from panel analysis linking real effective protection and labour productivity for three continental countries (France, Italy and Germany)...

The paper shows how to exploit monthly data rapidly available to forecast the growth of real GDP two quarters ahead using econometric equations. The procedure consists of two steps. First, we estimate an equation giving the quarterly GDP growth according to coincident and leading series. Second,...

Since 1984, the OFCE has developed a quarterly macroeconometric model for the French economy, which has been used both for budget policy analyses and short and medium term forecasts. This model evolved, along with current theoretic and econometric advances. It was simplified and estimated with...

Few things have been said about the aftermath of the « new economy » bust. This paper aims to add to the debate. It focuses on five OECD countries : the United States, Ireland, Finland, the Netherlands because they are leading ICT countries, and France as a national reference. For a better...