We consider the stochastic sequence {Yi}t E N defined recursively by the linear relation Yt+l = AtYt + Bt in a random environment. The environment is described by the stochastic process {(At, Bt ) }t E N and is under the simultaneous control of several agents playing a discounted stochastic...

Additive modelling has been widely used in nonparametric regression to circumvent the curse of dimensionality, by reducing the problem of estimating a multivariate regression function to the estimation of its univariate components. Estimation of these univariate functions, however, can suffer...

We develop inference tools in a semiparametric regression model with missing response data. A semiparametric regression imputation estimator and an empirical likelihood based one for the mean of the response variable are defined. Both the estimators are proved to be asymptotically normal, with...

Since the age of Gutenberg, publishing has meant to print a book readable by a person. Of course, interaction and dynamic illustration were not possible with this media. Even during the electronic age (till the mid of the nineties), publishing had not changed much. Although media, like diskettes...

For the Euro 2000 Soccer Championships an experimental asset market was condueted, with traders buying and selling contracts on the winners of individual matches. Market-generated probabilities are compared to professional bet quotas, and factors that are responsible for the quality of the...

We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence as univariate function estimation. For the...

Background: Studies from several countries have shown that self-rated health is an independent predictor of mortality. However, no empirical evidence exists for Germany so far. We investigate the effectiveness of (i) self-ratings of health by individuals and (ii) changes in self-rated health, as...

It has long been recognized that aggregating time series introduces correlation between consecutive values of the aggregated observations (see Working (1960)). This paper investigates the effect of aggregation on the relation between variables assuming that the data generating process involves...

We discuss how to assess the performance for credit scores under the assumption that for credit data only a part of the defaults and nondefaults is observed. The paper introduces a criterion that is based on the difference of the score distributions under default and nondefault. We show how to...

In this paper, the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model is used to analyze short-run and contemporaneous relationships between monetary aggregates and other macroeconomic variables. This requires imposing restrictions on the correlation structure of the VAR residuals. Different...