We model aggregate credit losses on large portfolios of financial positions contracted with firms subject to both cyclical default correlation and direct default contagion processes. Cyclical correlation is due to the dependence of firms on common (macro-) economic factors; credit contagion...

Assume L is a non-deterministic real valued Lévy process and f is a smooth function on [0,t]

Inflation expectations are extracted from the Consumer Survey, which is conducted by the European Commission for the European Union. Using the probability method to quantify the qualitative answers different distribution functions and scaling parameters are assumed to cope with the properties of...

Die Berechnung des VaR führt zur Reduktion der Dimension des Raumes der Risikofaktoren. Die vorzunehmenden Vereinfachungen resultieren aus unterschiedlichen Beweggründen, z.B. technische Effizienz, Sachlogik der Ergebnisse und statistische Adäquanz des Modells. Im Kapitel 2 stellen wir drei...

This paper gives a selective review on the recent developments of nonparametric methods in continuous-time finance, particularly in the areas of nonparametric estimation of diffusion processes, nonparametric testing of parametric diffusion models, and nonparametric pricing of derivatives. For...

We consider the problem of strong approximations of the solution of stochastic functional differential equations of Itô form with a distributed delay term in the drift and diffusion coefficient. We provide necessary background material, and give convergence proofs for the Euler-Maruyama and the...

We introduce an easy way of analyzing the transitional dynamics of the Uzawa-Lucas endogenous growth model. We use the value function approach to solve both the social planner?s optimization problem and the representative agent?s optimization problem in the decentralized economy. The complexity...

Stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs for short) appear naturally in the description of many processes, e.g. in population dynamics with a time lag due to an age-dependent birth rate (Scheutzow 1981), in economics where a certain "time to build" is needed (Kydland and Prescott 1982) or...

Die vorliegende Studie untersucht den Realoptionsansatz als Bewertungsverfahren für unentwickelte Immobilien. Im Gegensatz zu klassischen Bewertungsverfahren berücksichtigt das Realoptionsverfahren explizit die Unsicherheit zukünftiger Mieterträge und die daraus folgenden...

Travel arrangements and flight ticket booking via internet is widely used nowadays and follow already certain standards. Although increasing activity for multimedia/web education components can be observed, we are far away from standards in this important area. Statistics can possibly profit the...