We consider the problem of modelling the term structure of defaultable bonds, under minimal assumptions on the default time. In particular, we do not assume the existence of a default intensity and we therefore allow for the possibility of default at predictable times. It turns out that this...

We study discretizations of polynomial processes using finite state Markov processes satisfying suitable moment matching conditions. The states of these Markov processes together with their transition probabilities can be interpreted as Markov cubature rules. The polynomial property allows us to...

No-arbitrage surfaces implied from the parameters of benchmark stochastic financial models have attracted considerable attention. They are convenient objects that statically give access to the marginals of the state variables and dynamically to their law. The former help to price vanillas and to...

The paper considers the problem of estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model observed under a general semimartingale noise with an unknown distribution in the case when continuous observation cannot be provided and only discrete time measurements are available. Two...

Given a reference random variable, we study the solution of its Stein equation and obtain universal bounds on its first and second derivatives. We then extend the analysis of Nourdin and Peccati by bounding the Fortet–Mourier and Wasserstein distances from more general random variables such as...

We give a general method for constructing a deterministic strategy of Reality from a randomized strategy in game-theoretic probability. The construction can be seen as derandomization in game-theoretic probability.

We provide a new non-parametric Fourier procedure to estimate the trajectory of the instantaneous covariance process (from discrete observations of a multidimensional price process) in the presence of jumps extending the seminal work of Malliavin and Mancino (2002, 2009). Our approach relies on...

Consider the model where particles are initially distributed on Zd,d≥2, according to a Poisson point process of intensity λ0, and are moving in continuous time as independent simple symmetric random walks. We study the escape versus detection problem, in which the target, initially placed at...

We give meaning to differential equations with a rough path term and a Brownian noise term and study their regularity, that is we are interested in equations of the type Stη=S0+∫0ta(Srη)dr+∫0tb(Srη)∘dBr+∫0tc(Srη)dηr where η is a deterministic geometric, step-2 rough path and B is a...

This paper concerns the homogenization problem of a parabolic equation with large, time-dependent, random potentials in high dimensions d≥3. Depending on the competition between temporal and spatial mixing of the randomness, the homogenization procedure turns to be different. We characterize...