In this paper, we argue that adjustments in non-wage compensation are empirically relevant and have important implications for understanding the effects of labor supply shocks. We examine the labor market impacts of internal migration in Brazil through a shift-share approach, which combines...

Job displacement causes large and persistent earnings losses. We document that these losses exhibit a U shape over the life cycle: young and old workers experience greater drops than mid-career workers. We develop a simple search model with human capital accumulation and deterioration that...

We discover sentiment-driven equilibria in popular models of imperfect risk sharing. In these equilibria, sentiment dynamics behave like uncertainty shocks, in the sense that self-fulfilled beliefs about volatility drive aggregate fluctuations. Because such fluctuations can decouple from the...

We study the global dynamics of the fully stochastic nonlinear version of the New Keynesian model and analyze the efficacy of various policies as equilibrium selection tools in this context. First, we unveil a new class of equilibria, characterized by selffulfilled beliefs about output...

Why do fire sales occur if many risks are hedgeable? We study a version of Brunnermeier and Sannikov (2014) in which all fundamental risks can be hedged frictionlessly. Our analysis shows that fire sales are inherently self-fulfilling. Fundamental shocks can never cause fire sales, and an...

How much employment can be generated by decreasing payroll taxes? We examine this question by exploring the staggered rollout of a large payroll tax reform in Brazil. Using administrative matched employer-employee data, we find an increase of 5 percent on employment due to both firm growth and...

This paper develops a flexible discrete-choice demand framework for aggregate data sets that extends Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) and the Pure Characteristics Demand Model of Berry and Pakes (2007). I provide a simple, computationally tractable, asymptotically normal estimator based on two...

This paper develops a general framework to construct optimal policy reforms starting from a status quo set of policies. We show that if a policymaker can control how fiscal externalities are spent, then the welfare-weighted marginal value of public funds (WMVPF) is the relevant sufficient...

This text examines the distributive effects of fiscal policy in Brazil by considering it according to gender and race criteria. Based on the Brazilian Consumer Expenditure Survey (POF) of 2017/2018, we assess how cash transfers, indirect taxes and direct taxes impact income by strata among four...

This study focuses on the profile of workers' union associations in Brazil given the context of recent changes in the political, economic, social and institutional spheres. More precisely, the objectives were: i) to analytically reconstruct the transformations of trade unionism, internationally...