1. Preâmbulo: transição, legado e desafios 2. Do Encilhamento ao Funding Loan 3. O Convênio de Taubaté: a defesa do café e do câmbio 4. O desempenho da economia de 1889 a 1913 em perspectiva 5. A primeira Guerra Mundial, e os “choques adversos” 6. A reconstrução da normalidade nos...

Unlike common wisdom, sterilized FX purchases under inflation targeting, i.e., those that keep the interest rate at the level targeted by the central bank, generally increase aggregate demand. We resort to a simple model with a credit channel to argue that FX purchases, by funding bank credit,...

Modern societies cannot anymore be just defined as classical or bourgeois capitalism. Since the emergence of a second relation of production and a third social class in capitalist societies, they are mixed societies where two forms of property – capital and organization – are present. That...

The capitalist revolution was such a major economic, social and political transformation that that we can see history divided into two phases: ancient and modern times or pre-capitalism and capitalism. While ancient societies change slowly, modern societies change fast as they, for the first...

Besides analyzing capitalist societies historically and think them in terms of phases or stages, we may compare different models or varieties of capitalism. In this work I make a survey of the literature on this subject, distinguish the classification that have a production or business approach...

Democracy became the preferred and consolidated form of government only in the twentieth century. It is not sufficient to explain this change solely by reference to rational motives, nor by detecting processes and leadership. A historical approach is required. The new historical fact that led to...

Neste artigo, foi estimada a taxa natural de juros para a economia brasileira entre o final de 2001 e segundo trimestre de 2010 com base em dois modelos, sendo o primeiro deles o proposto por Laubach e Williams e o segundo proposto por Mesónnier e Renne, que trata de uma versão alterada do...

O trabalho tem como objetivo analisar a relação entre consumo e renda agregados das famílias no Brasil para os últimos 60 anos. Para realizar esta análise, foi utilizado a metodologia econométrica construída por Bierens e Martins (2010), que consiste na estimação de Vetor Autoregressivo...