Owing to lags in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, central banks put much weight on forecasts of the future paths of output and inflation. So there has been considerable recent interest in forward-looking Taylor-type reaction functions. Using publicly available data on the Monetary...

This paper studies the business cycle dynamics of income and wealth distributions in the context of the neoclassical growth model where agents are heterogeneous in initial wealth and non-acquired skills. Our economy admits a representative consumer which enables us to characterize distributive...

If workers anticipate a technological innovation, some workers may decide to quit their job and retrain themselves to acquire the skills which are needed by this new technology. However, this may facilitate the innovation and make it a self-fulfilling prophecy. This self-fulfilling mechanism is...

This paper studies the issue of price stability in a continuous time optimizing general equilibrium model with overlapping generations. It is shown that fiscal policy has effects on nominal variables. Fiscal expansions are inflationary even when the government intertemporal budget constraint is...

This paper conducts a Ramsey analysis within an endogenous growth cash-in-advance economy with policy commitment. Credit and money are alternative payment mechanisms that act as inputs into the household production of exchange. The credit is produced with a diminishing returns technology with...

Labor market outcomes such as turnover and earnings are correlated with employer characteristics, even after controlling for observable differences in worker characteristics. We argue that this systematic relationship constitutes strong evidence in favor of models where workers choose how much...

The paper analyzes the question why the U.S. economy in the 2000:4--2004:3 period was sluggish in light of the large expansionary fiscal and monetary policies that took place. The answer does not appear to be that there were large structural changes in the economy or systematic bad shocks. This...

This paper starts from the observation that parameter instability and model uncertainty are relevant problems for the analysis of monetary policy in small macroeconomic models. We propose to deal with these two problems by implementing a novel "thick recursive modelling" approach. At each point...

The Federal Reserve Act authorizes the Federal Reserve to undertake various types of discount window loans and open market operations. While the Federal Reserve generally has not found it necessary to use all types of such authority, there could be circumstances in which the Federal Reserve...

This paper studies the growth effects of productive public expenditures on education and public capital in an endogenous growth model of overlapping generations. The model is calibrated to Latin American data, and the effects of raising government expenditures on education and public capital are...