Based on direct information on hires and separations for 11.000 establishments during 11 years, we report new evidence that around half of job and worker flows stem from temporary contracts which account for only around 10 percent of employment. The share of temporary contracts is positively...

This paper is concerned with modelling time series by single hidden-layer feedforward neural network models. A coherent modelling strategy based on statistical inference is presented. Variable selection is carried out using existing techniques. The problem of selecting the number of hidden units...

This paper develops a framework for analyzing optimal government bailout policy in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model where financial crises are exogenous. Important elements of the model are that private borrowers only internalize part of the social cost of foreign borrowing in the...