.

.

In this study we evaluate the forecast performance of model averaged forecasts based on the predictive likelihood carrying out a prior sensitivity analysis regarding Zellner’s g prior. The main results are fourfold: First the predictive likelihood does always better than the traditionally...

.

.

.

.

We investigate the information content of aggregate stock market liquidity and askwhether it may be a useful realtime indicator, both for nancial stress, and real economicactivity in Norway. We describe the development in a set of liquidity proxies at the OsloStock Exchange (OSE) for the period...

This paper analyzes return patterns and determinants at the Oslo Stock Ex-change (OSE) in the period 1980{2006. We nd that a three-factor model con-taining the market, a size factor and a liquidity factor provides a reasonable t forthe cross-section of Norwegian stock returns. As expected, oil...

A central role for economic policy involves understanding and reducing the impact of unexpected,extreme events. In this paper, we develop a simple economic framework with latentregime switches. This framework explains why investors and policymakers can decide not tohedge against extreme events,...