A spurious regression model is one in which the dependent and independent variables are non-stationary, but not cointegrated, and the data are not filtered (e.g., by differencing) before the model is estimated. It is well known that in this case the asymptotic behaviour of the least squares...

In this paper we carry a disaggregated study of the monthly US Consumer Price Index (CPI). We consider a breakdown of US CPI in four subindexes, corresponding to four groups of markets: energy, food, rest of commodities and rest of services. This is seen as a relevant way to increase information...

We wish to predict the number of faults N and the time to next failure of a piece of software. Software metrics data are used to estimate the prior mean of N via a Poisson regression model. Given failure time data and a some well known fault based models for interfailure times, we show how to...

Strong consistency of linear discriminant analysis is established under wide assumptions on the class conditional densities. Robustness to the presence of a mild degree of class dispersion heterogeneity is also analyzed. Results obtained may help to explain analytically the frequent good...

This article proposes an adaptive forgetting factor for the recursive estimation of time varying models.The proposed procedure is based on the Cook's distance of the new observation.It is proven that the proposed procedure encompasses the adaptive features of classic adaptive forgetting factors...

This paper belongs to the recent investment literature focused on the modelling of microeconomic investment decisions. The increasing concern about this topic is related to the growing availability of microeconomic datasets which show the investment behavior taking place at the firm level. This...

For a singular random matrix Y, we find the Jacobians associated with the following decompositions; QR, Polar, Singular Value (SVD), L´U, L´DM and modified QR (QDR). Similarly, we find the Jacobinas of the following decompositions: Spectral, Cholesky´s, L´DL and symmetric non-negative...

An effective way of improving the reliability of a system is the allocation of active redundancy. Let 1 X , 2 X be independent lifetimes of the components 1 C and 2 C , respectively, which form a series system. Let denote ( ) ( ) 2 1 1 , , max min X X X U = and ( ) ( ) X X X U , max , min 2 1 2...

This paper deals with the recent evolution, perspectives and some policy considerations for the Euro-Zone on the basis of the analysis of inflation, GDP and Industrial Production in EMU. The analysis shows that the year on year rates of growth will recover form the third quarter of 2002 for GDP...

In this paper we propose a new approach to estimate the structural parameters in the context of a censored continuous decision model. Instead of handling with the original model, we consider an approximate model in which the decision variable has been discretized in a finite number of values. In...