SME default prediction is a long-standing issue in the finance and management literature. Proper estimates of the SME risk of failure can support policymakers in implementing restructuring policies, rating agencies and credit analytics firms in assessing creditworthiness, public and private...

In response to the global concern of the Evergrande debt crisis, we document several findings of the crisis’s contagion effect. First, although most real estate companies have strong financial fundamentals, the high default risk among large firms sends an alarming signal. Second, the spillover...

SME default prediction is a long-standing issue in the finance and management literature. Proper estimates of the SME risk of failure can support policymakers in implementing restructuring policies, rating agencies and credit analytics firms in assessing creditworthiness, public and private...

The COVID-19 health crisis has dramatically affected just about every aspect of the economy, including the transition from the record long benign credit cycle to a stressed one, with still uncertain dimensions. This paper seeks to assess the credit climate from just before the unexpected global...

Fifty years ago, I published the initial, classic version of the Z-score bankruptcy prediction models. This multivariate statistical model has remained perhaps the most well-known, and more importantly, most used technique for providing an early warning signal of firm financial distress by...