A previous study assessed asymmetric effects of the real peso-dollar volatility on trade flows between Mexico and the U.S., two members of the former NAFTA. We now expand that analysis by considering the trade flows between Mexico and Canada. Estimating traditional linear models did not yield...

A previous study that analyzed the impact of the U.S. and Mexican policy uncertainties on trade flows between the two countries assumed that the effects are symmetric. In this paper, we argue and demonstrate that the effects could be asymmetric. Since asymmetry analysis requires nonlinear...

Previous research that investigated the relationship between the black market and the official exchange rate employed cointegration analysis to establish the long-run relationship and Granger causality to detect the short-run causality between the two rates (for a small number of countries). In...

In a recent article, with a strong theoretical argument but poor empiricalsupport, military spending was identified to be a determinant of realexchange rate or a factor causing the PPP to deviate from equilibriumexchange rate. The poor empirical results were mostly due to a small numberof...

Since the introduction of the news-based policy uncertainty measure, a few studies have looked at its impact on trade flows by using panel models and aggregate trade data. In this paper we consider the short-run and long-run response of 61 2-digit U.S. exporting industries to Korea and 49...