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The Naive Extrapolation Hypothesis and the Rosy-Gloomy Forecasts
Barmpoutis, Vasileios - arXiv.org - 2014
I study the behavior and the performance of the long-term forecasts issued by financial analysts with respect to the Extrapolation Hypothesis. That hypothesis states that investors, extrapolating from the firms' recent performances, are too optimistic about growth and large firms and too...
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