Goodwin, Paul - In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting Spring (2011) 21, pp. 7-9
In Foresight’s Hot New Research Section, Goodwin comments on a recent article by Jerker Denrell and Christine Fang, published in Management Science, in which the authors warn against trusting intuition while overlooking the underlying rate. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2011