Bailey, Martha J.; Guldi, Melanie E.; Hershbein, Brad J. - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
Dramatic fertility swings over the last 100 years have been the subject of large literatures in demography and economics. Recent research has claimed that the post-1960 fertility decline is exceptional enough to constitute a "Second Demographic Transition." The empirical case for a Second...