In a volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous (VUCA) world, responses by governments to global shocks will vary in substance and rate of success. We argue that policymakers can make better decisions when high-quality evidence is incorporated into an evidence-based policymaking (EBP) process....

In a volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous (VUCA) world, responses by governments to global shocks will vary in substance and rate of success. We argue that policymakers can make better decisions when high-quality evidence is incorporated into an evidence-based policymaking (EBP) process....

This research addresses the question of why some crises between states are resolvedthrough negotiated agreements while others result in continued conflict or escalate to war.The model deviates from previous approaches to the study of conflict management in fourkey ways: 1) management is treated...