We propose a simple framework for understanding accounting-based stock return regularities. A firm's accounting reports provide noisy information about hidden economic states that evolve according to a Markov process. In response to the accounting reports, a representative Bayesian investor...

We propose and validate a new measure of earnings quality based on a hidden Markov model. This measure, termed earnings fidelity, captures how faithful earnings signals are in revealing the true economic state of the firm. We estimate the measure using a Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure in a...

Options, restricted stock, bonuses tied to total shareholder return, and similar equity-based compensation contracts stipulate payments that depend on stock price. Any such contract is a function of shareholder value net of the compensation payment, because stock price (1) is proportional to...

Given a standard moral hazard problem, the agent's optimal compensation can be cast as a function of either (i) the gross outcome, or (ii) the net outcome, which is the gross outcome net of the agent's compensation. Contracts based on the net outcome are important in practice because (i)...

SEC-mandated, machine-readable structured filings, or “as-filed data,” are an alternative source to Compustat for companies’ accounting data. Discrepancies between as-filed and Compustat data, potentially a result of Compustat’s standardizations, affect inferences about the existence and...