We show that a simple and intuitive variable, the return of a bear spread portfolio orthogonalized with respect to the market (H-Bear factor), can serve as an important pillar for explaining the cross-section of hedge fund returns. Low H-Bear exposure funds (bear risk insurance sellers)...

We document a political risk premium of about 0.30% per month in the equity option market. High-political risk firms exhibit delta-hedged returns that are significantly lower than those of low-political risk firms. The effect holds both in a cross-sectional and in a time-series context. A...

This paper shows that firm growth potential – representing a firm's yet-unexercised growth opportunities – is associated with option overpricing and low future delta-hedged option returns. We provide an explanation of this phenomenon based on the idea that retail investors exert buying...

We offer evidence that the tendency of high real-investment stocks to underperform others is driven by firms physically constructing new capacity. The conditioning ability of construction work does not come from differences in investment intensity, financing sources, or profitability. Yet, it...

Factor momentum has formed the basis of factor timing strategies. We propose an alternative approach for timing factor portfolio returns by exploiting the information from their portfolio characteristics. Different combinations of dimension reduction techniques are employed to independently...

We estimate the term structures of risk-neutral forward variance and skewness, and examine their predictive power for equity market excess returns and variance. We use Partial Least Squares to extract a single predictive factor from each term structure that is motivated by the theoretical...