Using a Markov-switching prediction pool method (Waggoner and Zha, 2012) in terms of density forecasts, we assess the time-varying forecasting performance of a DSGE model incorporating a financial accelerator a la Bernanke et al. (1999) with the frictionless model by focusing on periods of...

In order to investigate sources of the Great Recession (Dec. 2007 to Jun. 2009) of the US economy in the latter portion of the first decade of the 2000s, we modified the standard New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model by embedding financial frictions in both the...

This study investigates changes in the contemporary Japanese economics and the effects of macroeconomic policies in the 1990s. We estimate several vector autoregression (VAR) models employing data detrended by different methods. This paper presents three major findings: First, there is a gradual...