MOULIN, Laurent; SALTO, Matteo; SILVESTRINI, Andrea; … - Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), … - 2004
We develop a methodology for using intra-annual data to forecast annual budget deficits. Our approach aims at improving the accuracy of the deficit forecasts, a relevant issue to policy makers in the Eurozone and at proposing a replicable methodology using at best public quantitative information...