During the past decades, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) had become one of a prevalent linear models in time series and forecasting. Empirical research advocated that forecasting with non-linear models can be an encouraging alternative to traditional linear models....

During the past decades, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) had become one of a prevalent linear models in time series and forecasting. Empirical research advocated that forecasting with non-linear models can be an encouraging alternative to traditional linear models....

The incidence of rare but extreme events appears to be significant in worldwide financial markets. In this chapter we apply extreme value theory (EVT) distributions to predict extreme losses of five South African (SA) financial times stock exchange/Johannesburg Stock Exchange (FTSE/JSE) closing...

In this chapter, both Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and Bayesian MCMC estimation methods are used to test their parameters estimation power while estimating a Markov-Switching generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (MS-GARCH) model. The monthly exchange rates of BRICS...