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  • Search: person:"Pawe\{\l\} Fiedor"
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Pawe{\l} Fiedor 9 Artur Ho{\l}da 1 Trondrud, Odd Magnus 1
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Showing 1 - 9 of 9
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Information-theoretic approach to lead-lag effect on financial markets
Pawe{\l} Fiedor - arXiv.org - 2014
Recently the interest of researchers has shifted from the analysis of synchronous relationships of financial instruments to the analysis of more meaningful asynchronous relationships. Both of those analyses are concentrated only on Pearson's correlation coefficient and thus intraday lead-lag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141281
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Time Evolution of Non-linear Currency Networks
Pawe{\l} Fiedor; Artur Ho{\l}da - arXiv.org - 2014
Financial markets are complex adaptive systems, and are commonly studied as complex networks. Most of such studies fall short in two respects: they do not account for non-linearity of the studied relationships, and they create one network for the whole studied time series, providing an average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141302
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Causal Non-Linear Financial Networks
Pawe{\l} Fiedor - arXiv.org - 2014
In our previous study we have presented an approach to studying lead--lag effect in financial markets using information and network theories. Methodology presented there, as well as previous studies using Pearson's correlation for the same purpose, approached the concept of lead--lag effect in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141303
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Mutual Information Rate-Based Networks in Financial Markets
Pawe{\l} Fiedor - arXiv.org - 2014
In the last years efforts in econophysics have been shifted to study how network theory can facilitate understanding of complex financial markets. Main part of these efforts is the study of correlation-based hierarchical networks. This is somewhat surprising as the underlying assumptions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141304
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Partial Mutual Information Analysis of Financial Networks
Pawe{\l} Fiedor - arXiv.org - 2014
The econophysics approach to socio-economic systems is based on the assumption of their complexity. Such assumption inevitably lead to another assumption, namely that underlying interconnections within socio-economic systems, particularly financial markets, are nonlinear, which is shown to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141305
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Predictability of Volatility Homogenised Financial Time Series
Pawe{\l} Fiedor; Trondrud, Odd Magnus - arXiv.org - 2014
Modelling financial time series as a time change of a simpler process has been proposed in various forms over the years. One of such recent approaches is called volatility homogenisation decomposition, and has been designed specifically to aid the forecasting of price changes on financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141307
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Maximum Entropy Production Principle for Stock Returns
Pawe{\l} Fiedor - arXiv.org - 2014
In our previous studies we have investigated the structural complexity of time series describing stock returns on New York's and Warsaw's stock exchanges, by employing two estimators of Shannon's entropy rate based on Lempel-Ziv and Context Tree Weighting algorithms, which were originally used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141310
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Frequency Effects on Predictability of Stock Returns
Pawe{\l} Fiedor - arXiv.org - 2013
We propose that predictability is a prerequisite for profitability on financial markets. We look at ways to measure predictability of price changes using information theoretic approach and employ them on all historical data available for NYSE 100 stocks. This allows us to determine whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141286
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Structural Changes on Warsaw's Stock Exchange: the end of Financial Crisis
Pawe{\l} Fiedor - arXiv.org - 2013
In this paper we analyse the structure of Warsaw's stock market using complex systems methodology together with network science and information theory. We find minimal spanning trees for log returns on Warsaw's stock exchange for yearly times series between 2000 and 2013. For each stock in those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141298
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