We present a model to explain the diversification benefits of incorporating commodities into a portfolio of traditional assets from the perspective of domestic investors. Utilizing a sample of 38 countries from 2000 to 2020, we show that investors in high-commodity dependence countries generally...

Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...

We provide an analysis of frontier market equities with respect to world market integration anddiversification. Principal component results reveal that frontier markets exhibit low levels of integration. In contrast with developed and emerging markets, frontier markets offer no indication of...

We examine how the ownership of lead venture capital firms (VCs) evolves after their portfolio companies (PCs) are publicly listed. The VC investment period before the IPO, the VC age, the PC age, and the percentage change in the post-IPO stock price all incentivize earlier VC exit. Lead VCs...

We analyze the daily predictability of investor sentiment across four major asset classes and compare sentiment measures based on news and social media with those based on trade information. For the majority of assets, trade-based sentiment measures outperform their text-based equivalents for...

We employ a semi-supervised topic model to extract the rare disaster risks and economic narratives from 7,000,000 NYT articles over 160 years. Our approach addresses the look-ahead bias and changes in semantics. War positively predicts market return in- and out-of-sample, while the economic...

We employ sLDA to extract the narratives discussed by Shiller (2019) from 7 million NYT articles over 150 years. The estimation addresses look-ahead bias and changes in semantics. Panic and the narrative index positively predict market re- turn and negatively predict volatility. Panic presents...