A microsimulation of demographic behaviours using the 1997 Insee Survey about Young People and Job Histories (Robert-Bobée 2001) leads to the following results: if demographic behaviours remain the same as the ones observed in 1995-1996, completed fertility may decrease to less than 2 children...

We use household income tax data to estimate a structural model of female labor supply and utilization of paid child care outside the home. We find that child care costs have little impact on the participation decision of mothers of young children. However, they influence hours of work, as well...

Future change in partnerships and fertility are not easy to forecast. However, the fertility of the youngest cohorts will depend on those behaviours. The way young people start a partnership has changed a lot during the past three decades. Many couples are now unmarried, union disruptions and...