In commodity markets, the convergence of futures towards spot prices as the time to maturity of the contracts goes to zero is usually justified by no-arbitrage arguments. In this paper we propose an alternative approach, that relies on the expected profit maximization problem of an agent...

We consider the problem of optimal trading for a power producer in the context of intraday electricity markets. The aim is to minimize the imbalance cost induced by the random residual demand in electricity, i.e. the consumption from the clients minus the production from renewable energy. For a...

In this paper, we present a probabilistic numerical algorithm combining dynamic programming, Monte Carlo simulations and local basis regressions to solve non-stationary optimal multiple switching problems in infinite horizon. We provide the rate of convergence of the method in terms of the time...