This paper estimates a term premium from an estimated DSGE model under adaptive learning (AL) with arbitrary beliefs. The estimated AL term premium shares important features with the corresponding measures obtained in the literature using no-arbitrage affine term structure models. Thus, the AL...

A strand of exchange rate models postulate exchange rate fluctuations are driven by saddle-path dynamics and the related overshooting behavior. Using a bivariate system, the paper illustrates the relationship of the cointegration, saddle-path, and stationarity dynamics. Monte Carlo results...

Este artículo incorpora la estructura temporal de tipos de interés en un modelo EGED de media escala. La extensión resulta en un modelo de predicción multiperiódico que se estima bajo dos supuestos alternativos: aprendizaje adaptativo y expectativas racionales. La información de la...

This paper introduces the term structure of interest rates into a medium-scale DSGE model. This extension results in a multi-period forecasting model that is estimated under both adaptive learning and rational expectations. Term structure information enables us to characterize agents'...