Teschner, Florian; Coblenz, Maximilian; Weinhardt, Christof - In: Journal of Prediction Markets 5 (2011) 2, pp. 14-31
Macroeconomic forecasts are used extensively in industry and government even though the historical accuracy and reliability is questionable. We design a market for economic derivatives that aggregates macro-economic information. The market generated forecasts compare well to the Bloomberg-...