In this paper, we assess the role of investment in research and development (R&D) and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in Sri Lanka's economic growth experience. We do this by first determining which endogenous growth theories best explain the evolution of total factor productivity (TFP) in the...

Since its independence, Sri Lanka has been lauded by researchers and policymakers for its human capital outcomes and has consistently been ahead of its regional peers. On the other hand, Vietnam continued to struggle with conflicts and other economic bottlenecks which hindered the development of...

This study documents a semi-structural model developed for Sri Lanka. This model, extended with a fiscal sector block, is expected to serve as a core forecasting model in the process of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka's move towards flexible inflation targeting. The model includes a...

This study documents a semi-structural model developed for Sri Lanka. This model, extended with a fiscal sector block, is expected to serve as a core forecasting model in the process of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka's move towards flexible inflation targeting. The model includes a...

The amendment to the Monetary Law Act in 2002 defines “economic and price stability” as one of Central Bank of Sri Lanka’s core objectives. Using a standard aggregate demand – aggregate supply model with varying policy preferences this paper discusses the achievability of “economic and...

Based on a vector autoregressive (VAR) framework and utilising both recursive and structural specifications, this study analyses the effects of interest rate, money growth and the movements in nominal exchange rate on real GDP growth and inflation in Sri Lanka for the period from 1978 to 2005....

Disinflation is a painful exercise: it reduces output and increases unemployment at least in the short run. This paper analyses the effects of adopting inflation targeting as a monetary policy framework in order to reduce inflation and maintain it at a low level, on this output or employment...