Ratings in emerging markets can serve as part of the early warning systems to reflect the weak signals of potential risks to the entity from the environment. Emerging markets have specific features that rating agencies usually consider in judgments of their credit ratings. They are underpinned...

We analyse the ability of credit gap measures to predict banking crises by estimating the usefulness measure conditionally on policymaker's preferences. The results show that the signals based on the credit gap indicators are most useful when the policymaker’s preferences regarding Type I and...