Using a large panel of US banks over the period 2008-2013, this paper proposes an early warning framework to identify bank heading to bankruptcy. We conduct a comparative analysis based on both Canonical Discriminant Analysis and Logit models to examine and to determine the most accurate one....

This paper investigates the use of early warning tools as part of Ethiopia's Disaster Risk Management framework. Analyzing, in particular, the Livelihoods, Early Assessment and Protection tool, Livelihood Integrated Assessment and Hotspots Assessments, the paper delineates the scope and...

Based on experience with national unemployment, analysts have viewed sharply higher state joblessness as signaling possible further deterioration. However, analyses indicate increasing state-level unemployment by itself does not indicate a recession, and that applying rule-of-thumb properties...

We examine the determinants of external stress episodes through probit analysis, focusing on the role of foreign liabilities in order to build an external crisis early warning indicator for a set of selected EMU countries. We use a panel country data spanning 1970-2011 from External Wealth...

This paper makes attempts to identify a set of early warning indicators for Indian macro-financial space and estimates the efficacy of chosen indicators in signaling the crises. The results showed that a few indicators (such as ‘credit to GDP gap', ‘output GAP', ‘Credit growth', ‘Deposit...

Across Latin America, school dropout is a growing concern, because of its negative social and economic consequences. Although a wide range of interventions hold potential to reduce dropout rates, policy makers in many countries must first address the basic question of how to target limited...

This is a technical document describing the step-by-step procedure for pre-tasking of satellites for disaster impact mapping in the frame of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS). Pre-tasking is done following alerts for upcoming disasters issued by early warning systems (in this...