This study focuses on the Indian gold futures market where primary participants hold sentimental value for the underlying asset and are globally ranked number two in terms of the largest private holdings in the physical form. The trade of gold futures relates to seasons, festivity, and...

Canada’s hog sector has faced two decades of tumultuous growth, yet there are no recent estimates of supply response. A state-space model for hog supply response is developed that accounts for the time series properties of the data while accounting for a multiplicity of unspecified sources for...

For a few years the revenue services of the DGDA have increased in a spectacular way in Democratic Republic of Congo. Thus, the objective of this paper is to empirically examine the evolution of these monthly receipts of 1982 to 2005. The Heteroskedastic Conditional Autoregressive model (ARCH)...

This paper examines if uncovered interest rate parity condition holds for Turkey. In this paper, an empirical analysis is provided for the dates between December 2001 and June 2007 by using monthly data for Turkey and the U.S. Main finding is that UIP does not hold for Turkey. In addition to...

Australia has one of the more volatile set of export prices among OECD countries. This paper examines the extent to which Australia’s export prices relate to the world prices using quarterly time-series data spanning the period 1969q4-2002q3. The empirical results based on dynamic least...

We use a discrete time analysis, giving necessary and sufficient conditions for the almost sure convergence of ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) discrete time models, to suggest an extension of the (G)ARCH concept to continuous time processes. Our COGARCH (continuous time GARCH) model, based on a single...

We use a discrete time analysis, giver necessary and sufficient conditions for the almost sure convergence of ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) discrete time models, to suggest an extension of the (G)ARCH concept to continuous time processes. The models, based on a single background driving Lévy process,...