China's economy is very interesting to analyze because it is recognized as the highest GDP in  the world. Despite the ability of China's economy to reform and grow, China shows fluctuation  in its economy especially after the crisis in 1997 and 2008. When China was able to counter  the...

Accurate forecasting of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is crucial for policymakers, businesses, and investors. This research explores the use of SARIMAX, ARIMA, and Random Forest models to forecast GDP in the UK. The study investigates the relationship between GDP and the unemployment rate,...

This paper introduces a new modelling approach that incorporates nonlinear, exponential deterministic terms into a fractional integration model. The proposed model is based on a specific version of Robinson's (1994) tests and is more general that standard time series models, which only allow for...