Users of agricultural markets always need to establish accurate representations of future volatility. This paper investigates the properties of realized volatility in the soybean futures market. The results indicate that the distributional properties of realized volatility based on 5-minute...

The statistical properties of inflation and, in particular, its degree of persistence and stability over time is a subject of intense debate and no consensus has been achieved yet. The goal of this paper is to analyze this controversy using a general approach, with the aim of providing a...

We establish the validity of an Edgeworth expansion to the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter of a stationary, Gaussian, strongly dependent process. The result covers ARFIMA type models, including fractional Gaussian noise. The method of proof consists of three...

Turkey is a country with high inflation and debt problems. Policy-makers try to use tight fiscal policy based on high primary surplus to stabilize the economy. This study analyzes the composition of the budget, an indicator for the quality of fiscal policy and the persistence of the adjustments...

Turkey is a country with high inflation and debt problems. Policy-makers try to use tight fiscal policy based on high primary surplus to stabilize the economy. This study analyzes the composition of the budget, an indicator for the quality of fiscal policy and the persistence of the adjustments...