An ARIMA linear transfer function model is estimated for El Paso, Texas. Sample data are from January 1994 through December 2002. Beyond parameter estimation, empirical analysis is also carried out using out- of-sample model simulations. Results indicate that the equation forecasts compare...

Fiscal uncertainty has led many states to utilize a variety of economic and revenue forecasting methods. To improve accuracy, many budget analysts use alternative projections generated by different techniques. Composite modeling goes a step further and allows users to systematically combine two...

A monetary inflation model is augmented to include import prices and wages in a theoretically plausible manner. Empirical analysis is carried out using annual data for the 1970-1997 period. Parameter estimation is completed using a nonlinear ARMAX procedure. In addition to estimating different...

The article focuses on the impact of aid on growth by using a new approach in the aid-effectiveness literature related to the composition of foreign aid. We present a model of the impact of aid on growth in an aid-recipient economy to derive a reduced-form growth equation, which is subsequently...

This paper provides an empirical analysis of cattle auctions taking place in Amstetten, Austria. The particular auctions we focus on are ascending or English auctions. In this market the sellers are usually farmers and the buyers are either farmers as well or resale trade firms. A further...

Para conocer con mayor exactitud la eficacia de la utilización de los inputs en la generación del output, no basta con el cálculo de los índices de productividad parcial, es preciso analizar la trayectoria de la productividad global. Los métodos tradicionales de medida de la productividad...

This is an online version of the 2003 Cambridge University Press text.

This online text contains a discussion of econometric theory written at an advanced undergraduate or beginning graduate level.

The 1980s and early 1990s have set applied macroeconometrics on a new course because of advances in econometric theory and the development of ever more powerful computers and softwares. A thorough understanding of the fundamental statistical theory underlying the new techniques may be too...