I use Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility to forecast global temperatures and sea level and ice cover in the Northerin emisphere until 2010, by exploiting (i) their long-run equilibrium relationship with climate change drivers (CCDs) and (ii) the relationship between world GDP and...

This paper focuses on the estimation and testing of multiple breaks that occur at unknown dates in multivariate long memory time series regression models, allowing for fractional cointegration. A likelihood-ratio based approach for estimating the breaks in the parameters and in the covariance of...

We extend existing data sets for domestic and foreign private and public R&D stocks as well as labour-augmenting technical change data based on CES production functions. We cover slightly more periods and many more countries, now 44 up from 17. We consider panel unit root issues for a large...

This study examines the relationship between banking sector development (credit and deposits) and economic growth in Ecuador, using quarterly data for the period 2000-2022. An ARDL approach with Bound Test cointegration is employed, incorporating structural breaks using the Bai-Perron test and...

Purpose - The main purpose of this study is to evaluate the threshold impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on Ghana's trade balance. Design/methodology/approach - The study used annual time-series data, spanning 1980-2022. The study employed the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models,...

This paper investigates the time-varying efficiency of Western European stock markets and examines how macroeconomic events defined as endogenous and exogenous shocks influence the degree of efficiency by either long-range dependence or mean reverting. We apply a rolling-window detrended...

Cryptocurrency is the most innovative financial and technological breakthrough of this generation. Investment in cryptocurrency grew from USD 11.18 billion in December 2016 to USD 2.147 trillion in April 2024; however, the rationality of investor exuberance is uncertain. This paper explores...