A variable is defined to be self-generating if it can be forecast efficiently from its own past only. Conditions are derived for certain linear combinations to be self-generating in error correction models. Interestingly, there are only two candidates for self-generation in an error correction...

The Engle-Granger test for cointegration is extended by assuming that the error correction terms are asymmetric. Two variants are considered: a simple threshold autoregressive (TAR) model, where the positive and negative disequilibria are the error corrections, and the momentum threshold...

Our study extends the traditional pass-through literature by incorporating an error correction mechanism that is based on cointegration analyses allowing for structural breaks and symmetric as well as for a variety of asymmetric adjustment mechanisms. While some results of earlier pass-through...

This paper examines the stability of the demand for money in Italy using a newly extended data set for the period 1861 - 1996. We examine how the evolution of the financial system in Italy and policy shifts have affected the behavior of the long-run demand for money, and present tests of...

In this paper we analyze the West German labour market by means of a cointegrated structural VAR model. We find sensible stable long-run relationships that are interpreted as a labour demand, a wage setting and a goods market equilibrium. In order to study the dynamic behaviour of the model we...

This paper investigates the monetary transmission mechanism within the Euro area and is providing new evidence on the financial market side of the monetary mechanism in Europe. In particular, we examine the pass-through of money market rates to commercial bank lending rates by allowing for the...

Time-series models of the demand for alcoholic beverages have been criticized for use of annual data; omitted variables; mis-measurement of advertising; simultaneous equations bias; and inadequate attention to nonstationarity and dynamics. This paper reappraises the relationship between alcohol...

The paper is an investigation of the possible long-run and short-run dynamics between the stock and foreign exchange markets in Thailand and Indonesia. The cointegration methodology is applied using the weekly data from November 8, 1991 through December 26, 1997. Each variable is non-stationary...