We suggest that the real exchange rate between the major currencies in the post-Bretton Woods period can be described by a stationary, two state Markov switching AR(1) model. Based on the forecast performance, both in-sample and out-of-sample, we find that this model out-performs two competing...

The LM type linearity test for STAR nonlinearities is severely distorted when the process is governed by conditional heteroskedasticity. In order to correct the test we propose a parametric bootstrap. It is shown, by means of Monte Carlo methods, that the bootstrap test is almost exact.

This paper deals with the codispersion coefficient for spatial and temporal series. We present some results and simulations concerning the codispersion coefficient in the context of spatial models. The results obtained are immediate consequences of the asymptotic normality of the sample...

The paper investigates linkages between general macroeconomic conditions and the housing market for the G-7 area. Among the key results of the paper, it is found that the US are an important source of global fluctuations not only for real activity, nominal variables and stock prices, but also...

Rainfall is one of the fundamental components of the hydrological cycle as its accurate estimation is necessary for planning, designing and operation of water resources development programmes. In the present study, monthly stochastic model was developed using rainfall data for Doimukh...

The study analyzes the relationship among domestic debt-inflation-domestic debt cost-external debt-external dependency-crisis in the Ottoman Empire and in the Republic of Turkey. The study discusses that the monetary based explanations have not been satisfactory for the period of 1830-2005...