Recent empirical studies have shown that the chaotic behaviour and excess volatility of financial series are the result of interactions between heterogeneous investors. In our article, we propose verifying this hypothesis. Thus, we use the Chen, Lux, and Marchesi (2000) model to show that the...

Most economic models in essence specify the mean of some explained variables, conditional on a number of explanatory variables. Since the publication of White’s (1982) Econometrica paper, a vast literature has been devoted to the quasi- or pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE or PMLE)....

This paper relaxes the assumption of conditional normal innovations used by Fornari and Mele (1997) in modelling the asymmetric reaction of the conditional volatility to the arrival of news. We compare the performance of the Sign and Volatility Switching ARCH model of Fornari and Mele (1997) and...

The constant conditional correlation GARCH model is probably the most frequently applied multivariate GARCH model. In this paper we consider an extension to this model and examine its fourth-moment structure. The extension, first considered by Jeantheau (1998), is motivated by the result found...

In this paper, we develop an aggregation procedure using time-varying weights for constructing the common component of international economic fluctuations. The methodology for deriving time-varying weights is based on some stylized features of the data documented in the paper. The model allows...