We investigate the persistence of real exchange rates using Bayesian methods. First, an algorithm for Bayesian estimation of nonlinear threshold models is developed. Unlike standard grid-based estimation, the Bayesian approach fully captures joint parameter uncertainty and uncertainty about...

For testing the statistical significance of a treatment effect, we often compare between two parts of a population; one is exposed to the treatment, and the other is not exposed to it. Standard parametric or nonparametric two-sample tests are commonly used for this comparison. But direct...