Gross domestic product (GDP) serves as a vital indicator of a country's economic health, influenced by factors such as unemployment rates, export-import dynamics, and inflation rates. Understanding the intricate relationship between GDP and unemployment is crucial for navigating the dynamic...

The relationship between excess returns and the dividend price ratio is known to be unstable. However, there is no consensus on the type of instability, i.e. few or many breaks. Differences in parameter instability affect the long-term investor in particular, as misspecification errors are...

The relationship between excess returns and the dividend price ratio is known to be unstable. However, there is no consensus on the type of instability, i.e. few or many breaks. Differences in parameter instability affect the long-term investor in particular, as misspecification errors are...

Most factor-based forecasting models for the term structure of interest rates depend on a fixed number of factor loading functions that have to be specified in advance. In this study, we relax this assumption by building a yield curve forecasting model that learns new factor decompositions...