Using a customized survey and an information-provision experiment, we establish that loan officers' individual subjective expectations about inflation, GDP growth, and policy rates vary substantially within and across bank types and have a sizable causal effect on credit supply decisions....

This paper investigates how social network and conformity dynamics shape the stability of inflation expectations and the dissemination of economic narratives. Using an agent-based macroeconomic simulation, I integrate a heuristic switching framework with an opinion dynamics mechanism to examine...

Bounded rationality and limited attention significantly influence expectation formation and macroeconomic dynamics, yet empirical quantification of these behavioral phenomena remains challenging. This paper provides the first cross-country estimation of both micro- and macro-level attention...

Using a customized survey and an information-provision experiment, we establish that loan officers' individual subjective expectations about inflation, GDP growth, and policy rates vary substantially within and across bank types and have a sizable causal effect on credit supply decisions....

This paper investigates how social network and conformity dynamics shape the stability of inflation expectations and the dissemination of economic narratives. Using an agent-based macroeconomic simulation, I integrate a heuristic switching framework with an opinion dynamics mechanism to examine...

We analyze the optimal window length in the average inflation targeting rule within a Behavioral THANK model. The central bank faces an occasionally binding effective lower bound (ELB) or persistent supply shocks, and can also use quantitative easing. We show that the optimal averaging period is...

In recent times, the notion that inflation may be the result of conflicting claims by workers and capitalists over the distribution of income has experienced a revival in the academic and policy debate. Against this background, we investigate in this paper the macrodynamics of conflict inflation...