We consider a renewal risk model with phase-type claims, and obtain an explicit expression for the joint transform of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin, with a penalty function applied to the deficit at ruin. The approach is via the duality between a risk model with phase-type...

We reassess exchange rate prediction using a wider set of models that have been proposed in the last decade. The performance of these models is compared against two reference specifications-purchasing power parity and the sticky-price monetary model. The models are estimated in first-difference...

Overdispersion in count data regression is often caused by neglection or inappropriate modelling of individual heterogeneity, temporal or spatial correlation, and nonlinear covariate effects. In this paper, we develop and study semiparametric count data models which can deal with these issues by...