Includes bibliographical references (leaf [12]).

Volatility has an impact on the accuracy of forecasting. The Company on whichthis project report is based firmly believed that the agricultural segment of theirpackaging manufacturing business was too volatile to forecast. Economicpressures were however forcing this belief to be questioned. This...

Pinigų srautų prognozavimui taikomi skirtingi matematiniai metodai. Literatūroje siūloma pagrindinės veiklos pinigų srautus prognozuoti pagal įmonių istorinius finansinius duomenis regresinės analizės būdu. Darbe analizuojamos galimybės šį metodą pritaikyti prognozuojant Lietuvos...

Predicting cycles in economic activity is one of the more challenging but important aspects of economic forecasting. This paper reports the results from estimation of binary probit models that predict the probability of an economy being in a recession using a variety of financial and real...

This dissertation is two essays in business decision-making. The first essay is motivated by recent field evidence suggesting significant reliance on conventional techniques (e.g. NPV and DCF) without assessment of the decision profile - its degree of uncertainty, ambiguity and knowledge...

Studies of the predictive ability of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, an anecdotal measure of regional economic conditions, for aggregate output and employment have proven inconclusive. This might be attributed, in part, to the irregular release schedule of the Beige Book. In this paper, we use...

Results from the fedgazette’s annual business conditions outlook poll of district business leaders