Does fiscal austerity influence sovereign debt spreads in a state-dependent manner? To investigate this, we develop an endogenous sovereign default model that incorporates long-maturity debt, fiscal rules, and investment. We uncover novel insights in the Greek default. First, our model provides...

This paper investigates the performance of fiscal rules in resource-rich countries (RRC). Using panel data for 57 commodity exporting countries from 1976 to 2021, we find that fiscal rules: (i) reduce the procyclicality of real public expenditures with terms of trade in oil exporting countries,...

Political budget cycles (PBCs) in western democracies have been extensively examined. Yet, few studies have explored whether there exists a local political budget cycle under authoritarian regimes. This research attempt to address this important question by investigating local cases in China....

This paper studies the local determinacy requirements and effects of a money-financed fiscal stimulus under fiscal stress in a canonical New Keynesian model. We consider three alternative monetary policies and find that: (1) The money-financed policy adopted in Gali (2020) to keep real debt...

At the end of the first seven months of 2022, growth in revenues of the consolidated budgets of the RF regions was outpacing the growth in budget expenditures and the inflation rate, indicating that regions maintained a sufficient level of financial sustainability. As for the structure of...

Through a comparative dynamic analysis, we argue that the reality of public debt issuance, which responds flexibly to business cycles in contrast to the EU’s institutionally prescribed fiscal discipline, may contribute to macroeconomic stabilization. Through a simple econometric analysis, we...

Every couple of years, the debt limit shows up to wreak havoc in American law and public finance. By capping the face value of government securities that can be “outstanding at one time,” the statutory limit threatens Treasury’s ability to raise the revenue needed to fund required...

Highly indebted developing economies commonly also hold large external reserves. This behavior seems puzzling given that governments borrow with an interest rate penalty to compensate lenders for default risk. Although reducing external debt to the same extent as international reserves would...

We investigate whether the presence of fiscal rules might limit the insurgence of a Political Budget Cycle (PBC) in investment spending at municipal level. Data based on the balance sheets of Italian municipalities are explored for the period 1999-2012. In line with some existing studies, we...