This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order to decompose the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and seasonal components. The results show that using the ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the...

For the first time in the literature, the supply and demand model, with 2011-2014 data, is used to analyze the Texas Interconnection grid electricity market. The electric utility industry’s production function, fixed, variable and total cost (TC) curve represents the supply curve. The demand...

The importance of sticky prices in business cycle fluctuations has been debated for many years. But we argue, based on a large empirical literature from the 1950's and 60's, that it is necessary to distinguish the response of price to an increase in factor prices from its response to an increase...

Manufacturers that utilize capacitated flexible resources to produce a variety of products are often exposed to large mismatches between supply and demand due to some irregularities in their demand patterns. These irregularities arise from (1) uncertainty about the number of orders received from...

The output gap measured as the percentage deviation of actual output from its potential level is an indicator of an economy's achievement. Output gap has been an important concept used for forming of policies. In this study, we estimated the potential output and output gap, established some of...

Value-added tax (VAT) is shared between central and local governments, and is levied based on firms' production location, which provides incentives for local governments to intervene in firms' production. This paper investigates how local governments' VAT retention rate affect firms' capacity...

Output gaps that are estimated in real time can differ substantially from those estimated after the fact. We aim to understand the real-time instability of output gap estimates by comparing a suite of reduced-form models. We propose a new statistical decomposition and find that including a...

Research to date has shown that companies can accumulate resources over those strictly needed in order to overcome the uncertainty associated to a crisis. But the usage, redeployment, or consumption of this excess of resources when facing an adverse environment is yet underexplored. As suggested...