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Change-point Learning Expectations hypothesis 1
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Bulkley, George 1 Giordani, Paolo 1
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Journal of Financial Economics 1
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Structural breaks, parameter uncertainty, and term structure puzzles
Bulkley, George; Giordani, Paolo - In: Journal of Financial Economics 102 (2011) 1, pp. 222-232
We show that uncertainty about parameters of the short rate model can account for the rejections of the expectations hypothesis for the term structure of interest rates. We assume that agents employ Bayes rule to learn parameter values in the context of a model that is subject to stochastic...
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