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Clustering of forecasts 1 forecast accuracy 1 panel data 1
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Bewley, Ronald 1 Fiebig, Denzil G. 1
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Empirical Economics 1
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On the herding instinct of interest rate forecasters
Bewley, Ronald; Fiebig, Denzil G. - In: Empirical Economics 27 (2002) 3, pp. 403-425
It is not uncommon to observe the published forecasts of economic commentators closely bunched together over long periods of time. In our case, the phenomenon is observed for eight national panels of economists who report monthly forecasts. A framework is developed that conveniently nests within...
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