Many of humanity’s most pressing and challenging problems - such as environmental degradation, physical and economic security, and public health - are inherently complex (involve many different interacting components) as well as widely impactful (effect many diverse stakeholders). Solving such...

Intergroup competition has been proven to increase ingroup cooperation, but it will divide individuals into high-status groups and low-status groups, which may lead to group-level conflict and affect cooperation behavior. In this paper, we conduct a laboratory experiment to find how group status...

Leaks are pervasive in politics. Hence, many committees that nominally operate under secrecy de facto operate under the threat that information might be passed on to outsiders. We study theoretically and experimentally how this possibility affects the behavior of committee members and the...

How does salient public information affect voters' behavior? In a majoritarian voting game with common preferences, rational voters could use public information as an information device (depending on accuracy) or as a coordination device (regardless of accuracy). A simple lab experiment...

Crisis bargaining games are widely used to analyze bilateral conflicts, featuring strategic bluffing akin to poker. Players risk substantial losses from overplaying their hand but can secure significant gains if their opponent concedes. Since decisions in crises typically emerge from collective...

Introduction -- Literature Review and Preliminary Knowledge -- Consensus Modeling to Manage Conflict Risk Mitigation -- Consensus Modeling with Failure Mode and Effects Analysis -- Enhanced Minimum-Cost Consensus Modeling -- Multi-Stage Multi-Cost Consensus Modeling in SNLSDM -- Comprehensive...